4.2.4. Regressão com Coeficientes-Aleatórios
(Random-Coefficients
Regression)

HLM – Output

 

 Program:                       HLM 5 Hierarchical Linear and Nonlinear Modeling

 Authors:                       Stephen Raudenbush, Tony Bryk, & Richard Congdon

 Publisher:                     Scientific Software International, Inc. (c) 2000

                                                      techsupport@ssicentral.com

                                                              www.ssicentral.com

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 Module:      HLM2.EXE (5.05.2330.2)

 Date:        10 July 2005, Sunday

 Time:        16:21:21

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  SPECIFICATIONS FOR THIS HLM2 RUN                     Sun Jul 10 16:21:21 2005

 

 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

  Problem Title: RANDOM-COEFFICIENT MODEL (TABLE 4.4, P. 77)

 

  The data source for this run  = C:\Documents and Settings\user\Desktop\HSB_Modelos\Random_Coeff\HDB12.ssm

  The command file for this run = C:\Documents and Settings\user\Desktop\HSB_Modelos\Random_Coeff\random_coeff.hlm

  Output file name              = C:\Documents and Settings\user\Desktop\HSB_Modelos\Random_Coeff\hlm2.out

  The maximum number of level-2 units = 160

  The maximum number of iterations = 100

  Method of estimation: restricted maximum likelihood

 

 Weighting Specification

 -----------------------

                         Weight

                         Variable

            Weighting?   Name        Normalized?

 Level 1        no                        no

 Level 2        no                        no

 

  The outcome variable is  MATHACH   

 

  The model specified for the fixed effects was:

 ----------------------------------------------------

 

   Level-1                  Level-2

   Coefficients             Predictors

 ----------------------   ---------------

         INTRCPT1, B0      INTRCPT2, G00  

 *      SES slope, B1      INTRCPT2, G10  

 

'*' - This level-1 predictor has been centered around its group mean.

 

 The model specified for the covariance components was:

 ---------------------------------------------------------

 

         Sigma squared (constant across level-2 units)

 

         Tau dimensions

               INTRCPT1

                    SES slope

 

 

 Summary of the model specified (in equation format)

 ---------------------------------------------------

 

Level-1 Model

 

       Y = B0 + B1*(SES) + R

 

Level-2 Model

       B0 = G00 + U0

       B1 = G10 + U1


 Level-1 OLS regressions

 -----------------------

 

 Level-2 Unit     INTRCPT1         SES slope 

 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        1224     9.71545         2.50858   

        1288    13.51080         3.25545   

        1296     7.63596         1.07596   

        1308    16.25550         0.12602   

        1317    13.17769         1.27391   

        1358    11.20623         5.06801   

        1374     9.72846         3.85432   

        1433    19.71914         1.85429   

        1436    18.11161         1.60056   

        1461    16.84264         6.26650   

 

 

The average OLS level-1 coefficient for INTRCPT1 =     12.62075

The average OLS level-1 coefficient for      SES =      2.20164

 

 

 Least Squares Estimates

 -----------------------

 

 sigma_squared =     45.22141

 

 The outcome variable is  MATHACH

 

 Least-squares estimates of fixed effects

 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------

                                       Standard

    Fixed Effect         Coefficient   Error      T-ratio   d.f.     P-value

 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------

 For       INTRCPT1, B0

    INTRCPT2, G00          12.747853   0.079334   160.686      7183    0.000

 For      SES slope, B1

    INTRCPT2, G10           2.191172   0.120104    18.244      7183    0.000

 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

 The outcome variable is  MATHACH

 

 Least-squares estimates of fixed effects

 (with robust standard errors)

 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------

                                       Standard

    Fixed Effect         Coefficient   Error      T-ratio   d.f.     P-value

 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------

 For       INTRCPT1, B0

    INTRCPT2, G00          12.747853   0.239305    53.270      7183    0.000

 For      SES slope, B1

    INTRCPT2, G10           2.191172   0.129367    16.938      7183    0.000

 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

 

 The least-squares likelihood value = -23889.956689

 Deviance =  47779.91338

 Number of estimated parameters =    1

 

 

 

 STARTING VALUES

 ---------------

sigma(0)_squared =     36.72025

 

 Tau(0)

 INTRCPT1,B0      8.84167       0.06714

      SES,B1      0.06714       0.48299

 


 The outcome variable is  MATHACH

 

 Estimation of fixed effects

(Based on starting values of covariance components)

 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------

                                       Standard             Approx.

    Fixed Effect         Coefficient   Error      T-ratio   d.f.     P-value

 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------

 For       INTRCPT1, B0

    INTRCPT2, G00          12.636059   0.246557    51.250       159    0.000

 For      SES slope, B1

    INTRCPT2, G10           2.192865   0.122632    17.882       159    0.000

 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

 

The value of the likelihood function at iteration 1 = -2.335653E+004

 

The value of the likelihood function at iteration 2 = -2.335649E+004

 

The value of the likelihood function at iteration 3 = -2.335646E+004

 

The value of the likelihood function at iteration 4 = -2.335644E+004

 

The value of the likelihood function at iteration 5 = -2.335635E+004

                                                   .

                                                   .

                                                   .

 

The value of the likelihood function at iteration 14 = -2.335621E+004

 

The value of the likelihood function at iteration 15 = -2.335620E+004

 

The value of the likelihood function at iteration 16 = -2.335620E+004

 

The value of the likelihood function at iteration 17 = -2.335620E+004

 

Iterations stopped due to small change in likelihood function


******* ITERATION 18 *******

 

 Sigma_squared =     36.70356

 

 Tau

 INTRCPT1,B0      8.68087       0.04701

      SES,B1      0.04701       0.68038

 

 

Tau (as correlations)

 INTRCPT1,B0  1.000  0.019

      SES,B1  0.019  1.000

 

 ----------------------------------------------------

  Random level-1 coefficient   Reliability estimate

 ----------------------------------------------------

  INTRCPT1, B0                        0.908

       SES, B1                        0.260

 ----------------------------------------------------

 

The value of the likelihood function at iteration 18 = -2.335620E+004


 The outcome variable is  MATHACH

 

 Final estimation of fixed effects:

 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------

                                       Standard             Approx.

    Fixed Effect         Coefficient   Error      T-ratio   d.f.     P-value

 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------

 For       INTRCPT1, B0

    INTRCPT2, G00          12.636197   0.244503    51.681       159    0.000

 For      SES slope, B1

    INTRCPT2, G10           2.193157   0.127879    17.150       159    0.000

 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

 The outcome variable is  MATHACH

 

 Final estimation of fixed effects

 (with robust standard errors)

 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------

                                       Standard             Approx.

    Fixed Effect         Coefficient   Error      T-ratio   d.f.     P-value

 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------

 For       INTRCPT1, B0

    INTRCPT2, G00          12.636197   0.243738    51.843       159    0.000

 For      SES slope, B1

    INTRCPT2, G10           2.193157   0.127846    17.155       159    0.000

 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

 

 

 Final estimation of variance components:

 -----------------------------------------------------------------------------

 Random Effect           Standard      Variance     df    Chi-square  P-value

                         Deviation     Component

 -----------------------------------------------------------------------------

 INTRCPT1,       U0        2.94633       8.68087   159    1770.85120    0.000

      SES slope, U1        0.82485       0.68038   159     213.43769    0.003

  level-1,       R         6.05835      36.70356

 -----------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

 

 Statistics for current covariance components model

 --------------------------------------------------

 Deviance                       = 46712.398925

 Number of estimated parameters = 4